Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
ARS
0 - 1
TOR
15%
26%
60%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1993 |
SPA
3 - 0
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
DIN
1 - 1
LOK
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1993 |
LOK
2 - 0
AMO
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
LOK
4 - 1
LNN
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
URA
1 - 3
LOK
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |