Premier League Sub 18 South Round 25

Arsenal U18 vs Reading U18 analysis

Arsenal U18 Reading U18
45 ELO 30
20.2% Tilt 27.6%
6312º General ELO ranking 9487º
228º Country ELO ranking 403º
ELO win probability
79.4%
Arsenal U18
12.3%
Draw
8.3%
Reading U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
Arsenal U18
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.3%
Win probability
Reading U18
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Arsenal U18
Their league position
Reading U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
32
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aston Villa U18
47
47
100%
Southampton U18
45
45
100%
Arsenal U18
44
44
100%
Chelsea U18
42
42
100%
Fulham U18
39
39
100%
Crystal Palace U18
38
38
100%
Tottenham Hotspur U18
37
37
100%
Reading U18
32
32
100%
West Ham U18
25
25
100%
Brighton & Hove U18
10º
24
24
10º
100%
Leicester U18
12º
23
23
11º
100%
Norwich City U18
11º
23
23
12º
100%
West Bromwich Albion U18
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal U18
Reading U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Arsenal U18
Reading U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal U18
Arsenal U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
CRY
Crystal Palace U18
1 - 2
Arsenal U18
ARS
30%
22%
48%
43 39 4 0
12 Apr. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U18
3 - 1
Norwich City U18
NOR
84%
10%
6%
42 25 17 +1
05 Apr. 2025
LEI
Leicester U18
3 - 5
Arsenal U18
ARS
12%
15%
73%
42 26 16 0
01 Apr. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U18
2 - 1
Fulham U18
FUL
65%
17%
18%
41 36 5 +1
15 Mar. 2025
ARS
Arsenal U18
4 - 3
Leicester U18
LEI
81%
12%
8%
40 25 15 +1

Matches

Reading U18
Reading U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
WHU
West Ham U18
1 - 3
Reading U18
REA
75%
14%
11%
29 39 10 0
05 Apr. 2025
REA
Reading U18
3 - 1
Brighton & Hove U18
BHA
43%
22%
35%
28 29 1 +1
01 Apr. 2025
REA
Reading U18
0 - 2
Chelsea U18
CHE
18%
18%
64%
28 40 12 0
20 Mar. 2025
BHA
Brighton & Hove U18
1 - 1
Reading U18
REA
59%
19%
22%
28 30 2 0
11 Mar. 2025
REA
Reading U18
1 - 0
Fulham U18
FUL
24%
21%
56%
26 36 10 +2