Arroyo vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 2
EMD
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
ARR
41%
27%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 1
JER
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARR
69%
19%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 3
ARR
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TRU
1 - 1
CDD
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
EXT
0 - 5
TRU
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
BAD
0 - 1
TRU
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
TRU
4 - 1
MIA
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
TRU
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |