Arras vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IRI
2 - 1
ARR
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
ARR
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 0
AUB
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 0
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 1
PSG
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 3
TRO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
6 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ESW
3 - 1
TRO
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |