Arras vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
67.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 2
ARR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
0 - 2
SED
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
REI
0 - 0
ARR
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ARR
1 - 0
VAL
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
IVR
0 - 0
ARR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
TFC
2 - 2
NIC
39%
30%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
ASS
0 - 1
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |