Arras vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IRI
2 - 1
ARR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
AAC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POI
1 - 4
ARR
37%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
DRA
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
SML
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VCH
0 - 1
LIL
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEH
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
CAL
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LIL
4 - 3
DIE
44%
26%
29%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |