Arras vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PSG
1 - 2
ARR
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
QUE
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ARR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
ROY
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
4 - 2
ARR
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
IVR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SED
3 - 2
IVR
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 1
ROM
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
IVR
1 - 2
QUE
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |