Arras vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
LEN
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 0
ESW
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SML
1 - 0
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
VCH
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DRA
1 - 2
SML
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DRA
2 - 0
LEH
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
DRA
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DRA
2 - 1
DIE
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |