Arras vs Créteil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SEZ
4 - 2
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
FRE
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESW
3 - 1
ARR
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
FEI
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
REI
1 - 0
ARR
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Créteil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
0 - 2
IRI
24%
23%
52%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
CRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
SAI
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SED
5 - 1
CRE
58%
22%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
FLE
27%
25%
48%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |