Arquet vs Pesche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JEM
4 - 1
ARQ
23%
22%
54%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ARQ
5 - 1
AIS
33%
22%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
BIE
4 - 1
ARQ
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ARQ
2 - 2
LOY
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 2
ARQ
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pesche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PES
6 - 0
ENT
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PES
2 - 7
JEU
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
JEM
2 - 1
PES
40%
24%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
AIS
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BIE
3 - 1
PES
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -2 |