Arouca vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 3
ARO
50%
23%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 0
TRO
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARO
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
ARO
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SPB
3 - 0
LEX
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEX
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LEX
4 - 3
NAV
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 1
BRA
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |