Arouca vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ARO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
ARO
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 1
COV
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ACV
0 - 4
ARO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 1
ACV
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 1
FEI
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
FEI
0 - 1
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEI
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |