Primeira Liga . Jor. 23

Arouca vs Famalicão analysis

Arouca Famalicão
77 ELO 75
-2.8% Tilt -4.3%
502º General ELO ranking 607º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Arouca
26.4%
Draw
30.1%
Famalicão

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
Arouca
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
Famalicão
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arouca
+9%
-1%
Famalicão

Points and table prediction

Arouca
Their league position
Famalicão
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
18º
42
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sporting CP
90
90
100%
Benfica
80
80
100%
Porto
69
70
57.5%
Sporting Braga
68
69
57.5%
Vitória Guimarães
63
63
100%
Moreirense
55
55
100%
Arouca
46
46
100%
Famalicão
42
42
100%
Casa Pia AC
38
38
100%
Farense
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Rio Ave
11º
37
37
11º
100%
Gil Vicente
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Estoril
13º
33
33
13º
0%
Estrela da Amadora
14º
33
33
14º
0%
Boavista
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Portimonense
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Vizela
17º
26
26
17º
100%
Chaves
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arouca
Famalicão
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arouca
Famalicão
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arouca
Arouca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2024
CAS
Casa Pia AC
1 - 0
Arouca
ARO
29%
28%
43%
77 70 7 0
12 Feb. 2024
ARO
Arouca
3 - 2
Porto
FCP
19%
24%
57%
76 88 12 +1
03 Feb. 2024
POR
Portimonense
1 - 2
Arouca
ARO
26%
28%
47%
75 66 9 +1
28 Jan. 2024
ARO
Arouca
5 - 0
Vizela
VIZ
52%
26%
22%
75 69 6 0
20 Jan. 2024
EST
Estoril
1 - 2
Arouca
ARO
46%
26%
29%
74 71 3 +1

Matches

Famalicão
Famalicão
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2024
FAM
Famalicão
2 - 1
Rio Ave
RIO
49%
26%
26%
75 73 2 0
10 Feb. 2024
FAR
Farense
1 - 1
Famalicão
FAM
41%
26%
33%
75 72 3 0
28 Jan. 2024
MOR
Moreirense
1 - 0
Famalicão
FAM
57%
22%
21%
75 78 3 0
18 Jan. 2024
FAM
Famalicão
1 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
17%
21%
62%
75 87 12 0
13 Jan. 2024
CAS
Casa Pia AC
0 - 2
Famalicão
FAM
35%
28%
37%
74 71 3 +1
X