Arouca vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
ARO
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
ARO
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 0
RIO
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ARO
3 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 0
EST
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
29%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 0
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
MAF
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPC
3 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |