Arouca vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ARO
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
RIO
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 1
ARO
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
BMA
2 - 2
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
BMA
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OLH
1 - 0
BMA
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 4
BMA
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
BMA
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |