Arosa vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 2
SOM
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
RIB
0 - 4
ARO
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 2
RCV
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARO
30%
26%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 1
ARE
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
COM
1 - 3
OUR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 1
UPH
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SIL
0 - 1
OUR
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 2
ALO
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
UDO
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |