Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 3-2
Arosa vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ATH
2 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
ARO
3 - 0
ROB
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
2 - 1
ARO
71%
17%
11%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
BAR
0 - 0
ARO
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ARO
1 - 2
UPL
51%
26%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ASP
0 - 0
CDO
35%
34%
31%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
CDO
1 - 1
BAS
70%
21%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
2 - 1
ARO
71%
17%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
LAL
1 - 0
CDO
33%
34%
33%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
CDO
1 - 0
CDU
70%
21%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |