Arosa vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
ARO
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 2
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
BOU
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
PON
4 - 0
ARO
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARO
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEG
3 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SIL
3 - 0
NEG
40%
26%
34%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
NEG
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NEG
1 - 1
COM
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
DUB
1 - 1
NEG
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |