Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
7º
1º
41
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
ARN
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
0 - 0
FSC
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 1
WAT
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
WAT
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
POR
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 1
WAT
54%
26%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |