Arnett Gardens vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BOY
1 - 2
ARN
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
5 - 3
UWI
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
LIO
3 - 2
ARN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 1
MAG
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
ARN
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 2
REN
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
WAT
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 0
JAM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |