Arnett Gardens vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 0
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
LIO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ARN
2 - 1
ARA
41%
24%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 0
ARN
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
DFC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
2 - 1
REN
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 2
CAV
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 0
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |