Arnett Gardens vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 2
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 0
REN
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 0
ARN
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 0
BOY
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
ARN
23%
26%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
4 - 0
WAT
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
2 - 0
HAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
REN
3 - 2
TRI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 1
LIO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOY
1 - 1
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |