CFU Championship . Quarter-finals
Global 13-1
Arnett Gardens vs Jong Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.8%
3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 5
ARN
7%
16%
77%
|
65 | 17 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
ARN
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
ARN
0 - 0
NEC
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
ARN
5 - 0
VSA
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIO
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 5
ARN
7%
16%
77%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
RAC
7 - 0
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 57 | 39 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CON
3 - 1
COL
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
FAS
8 - 0
COL
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
FAS
30%
24%
47%
|
18 | 64 | 46 | 0 |