Tercera División RFEF XVI - La Rioja Round 12

Arnedo vs UD Logroñés B analysis

Arnedo UD Logroñés B
31 ELO 37
-15.1% Tilt -4.1%
7082º General ELO ranking 4658º
314º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
22%
Arnedo
22.9%
Draw
55.1%
UD Logroñés B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
Arnedo
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
55.1%
Win probability
UD Logroñés B
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arnedo
-13%
+13%
UD Logroñés B

Points and table prediction

Arnedo
Their league position
UD Logroñés B
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
14º
10º
76
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UD Logroñés B
76
76
0%
CD Alfaro
76
76
0%
CD Calahorra B
67
67
100%
Anguiano
65
65
100%
CD Varea
61
61
100%
Oyonesa
55
58
100%
Casalarreina
55
55
100%
CD Berceo
47
47
100%
La Calzada
46
46
100%
Arnedo
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Peña Balsamaiso CF
11º
42
42
11º
0%
River Ebro
12º
39
39
12º
100%
Racing Rioja
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Vianés
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Haro Deportivo
15º
31
31
15º
100%
CD Tedeón
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Comillas CF
17º
24
24
17º
100%
Alberite
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arnedo
UD Logroñés B
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arnedo
UD Logroñés B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arnedo
Arnedo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
OYO
Oyonesa
1 - 0
Arnedo
ARN
36%
25%
39%
29 28 1 0
12 Nov. 2023
ARN
Arnedo
1 - 1
Comillas CF
COM
71%
18%
12%
29 19 10 0
05 Nov. 2023
BER
CD Berceo
0 - 0
Arnedo
ARN
23%
21%
56%
29 21 8 0
29 Oct. 2023
ARN
Arnedo
1 - 0
Casalarreina
CAS
62%
21%
18%
28 22 6 +1
22 Oct. 2023
RIV
River Ebro
2 - 1
Arnedo
ARN
16%
20%
64%
29 20 9 -1

Matches

UD Logroñés B
UD Logroñés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
UDL
UD Logroñés B
3 - 1
Alberite
ALB
79%
14%
8%
39 21 18 0
12 Nov. 2023
UDL
UD Logroñés B
2 - 1
La Calzada
CDF
70%
18%
12%
38 28 10 +1
05 Nov. 2023
OYO
Oyonesa
1 - 2
UD Logroñés B
UDL
21%
23%
56%
37 28 9 +1
29 Oct. 2023
UDL
UD Logroñés B
2 - 2
Comillas CF
COM
84%
11%
4%
37 19 18 0
22 Oct. 2023
BER
CD Berceo
0 - 2
UD Logroñés B
UDL
19%
21%
61%
37 22 15 0