Arnedo vs Casalarreina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
OYO
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
ARN
6%
15%
79%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
CDF
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
ARN
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALF
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Casalarreina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDC
0 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
NAX
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RRI
3 - 2
CAS
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDC
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |