Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 2
ARB
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
3 - 1
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
FCB
5 - 0
ARB
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
AHA
0 - 0
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
OSN
2 - 2
WHE
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 2
OSN
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 3
HAN
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
PRE
3 - 0
OSN
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
OSN
1 - 1
USO
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |