Arminia Bielefeld vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
MSV
2 - 1
ARB
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1997 |
KSC
2 - 2
ARB
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
ARB
2 - 1
LEV
25%
25%
51%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
ARB
0 - 1
ROS
43%
26%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1997 |
MUN
1 - 0
ARB
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
BVB
4 - 1
SPA
69%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
BVB
2 - 3
MUN
71%
18%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
SGF
2 - 4
BVB
12%
20%
69%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
BRE
2 - 1
BVB
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
GAL
0 - 1
BVB
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |