Arminia Bielefeld vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
RBL
1 - 1
ARB
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
4 - 2
SGF
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 1
KAI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SVS
1 - 4
ARB
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
F95
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 0
RTV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCN
6 - 2
FCU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FCU
1 - 0
HEI
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 4
FCU
36%
26%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
STP
0 - 0
FCU
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |