Armagh City vs Moyola Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 0
ARC
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
DOL
41%
24%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 0
PSN
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
COA
74%
15%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
RRF
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MOY
2 - 5
BAN
56%
20%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 0
MOY
9%
13%
78%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MOY
0 - 1
LIM
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 0
MOY
66%
19%
16%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RRF
3 - 0
MOY
9%
14%
78%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -4 |