Arlesey Town vs Peterborough Northern Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
ARL
1 - 0
NEW
20%
20%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
ARL
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARL
3 - 4
DES
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
UXB
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
THA
7 - 1
ARL
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Peterborough Northern Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
PNS
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HIS
6 - 1
PNS
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PNS
2 - 3
DEE
9%
15%
77%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EYN
3 - 1
PNS
61%
20%
19%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PNS
1 - 2
NEW
20%
21%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |