FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 3-2
Arlesey Town vs Newmarket Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
60.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
ARL
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARL
3 - 4
DES
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
UXB
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
THA
7 - 1
ARL
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
EGH
1 - 2
ARL
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Newmarket Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
ARL
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
SOH
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HEY
2 - 0
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 1
HUL
38%
21%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
COC
0 - 2
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |