Arlesey Town vs Desborough Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ARL
0 - 2
UXB
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
THA
7 - 1
ARL
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
EGH
1 - 2
ARL
88%
9%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
KEM
5 - 0
ARL
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ARL
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Desborough Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ARL
3 - 1
DES
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
0 - 4
DES
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DES
0 - 1
LON
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
DES
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 1
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |