Arlesey Town vs Baldock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HOD
1 - 3
ARL
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARL
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ARL
0 - 4
RIS
7%
13%
81%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARL
0 - 2
COL
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
3 - 0
ARL
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STP
1 - 3
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
LON
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRA
43%
22%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
4 - 1
BAL
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
8 - 2
HOD
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +4 |