Combined Counties Football League Spartan South Midlands. Jor. 29

Arlesey Town vs Ardley United analysis

Arlesey Town Ardley United
16 ELO 24
7.9% Tilt 6.6%
11866º General ELO ranking 11421º
768º Country ELO ranking 743º
ELO win probability
31.9%
Arlesey Town
22.5%
Draw
45.6%
Ardley United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
Arlesey Town
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
45.6%
Win probability
Ardley United
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arlesey Town
+9%
-6%
Ardley United

ELO progression

Arlesey Town
Ardley United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arlesey Town
Arlesey Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2022
ARL
Arlesey Town
0 - 3
Risborough Rangers
RIS
12%
17%
71%
18 37 19 0
19 Feb. 2022
CRA
Crawley Green
1 - 2
Arlesey Town
ARL
8%
13%
79%
18 8 10 0
12 Feb. 2022
ARL
Arlesey Town
2 - 0
Broadfields United
BRU
63%
18%
19%
18 15 3 0
05 Feb. 2022
AYL
Aylesbury
1 - 1
Arlesey Town
ARL
41%
23%
36%
17 17 0 +1
01 Feb. 2022
MKI
Milton Keynes Irish
1 - 2
Arlesey Town
ARL
40%
22%
38%
17 16 1 0

Matches

Ardley United
Ardley United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2022
LEV
Leverstock Green
1 - 0
Ardley United
ARD
36%
23%
41%
24 19 5 0
12 Feb. 2022
DUN
Dunstable Town
1 - 1
Ardley United
ARD
25%
22%
53%
24 17 7 0
05 Feb. 2022
LEI
Leighton Town
2 - 1
Ardley United
ARD
42%
23%
35%
24 22 2 0
29 Jan. 2022
HAD
Hadley
1 - 1
Ardley United
ARD
73%
16%
11%
24 36 12 0
25 Jan. 2022
AYL
Aylesbury
0 - 0
Ardley United
ARD
26%
22%
53%
24 18 6 0
X