Arles vs Tours analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
NÎM
2 - 2
ARL
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
1 - 2
ARL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
ARL
2 - 2
SOC
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
ASN
1 - 1
ARL
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ARL
3 - 2
NIO
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
ANG
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 0
TOU
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 2
DIJ
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
TOU
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |