Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SLA
5 - 0
ARK
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ARK
2 - 5
WAR
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ARK
2 - 1
TSP
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ARK
0 - 2
RCH
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 5
POL
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 0
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 0
MIE
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
STA
1 - 0
WAR
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 1
GOR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |