Cup . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Arka Gdynia vs Korona Kielce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ARK
1 - 2
GDA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GDA
4 - 2
ARK
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
KOR
2 - 1
ARK
50%
24%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARK
1 - 0
WAR
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 2
ARK
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LPO
0 - 1
KOR
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SLA
1 - 1
KOR
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
KOR
2 - 1
ARK
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
KOR
1 - 0
GDA
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
KOR
2 - 2
GÓR
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |