Phoenix Rising vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 2
SDL
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
ARI
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARI
5 - 1
LVG
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 1
ARI
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 0
ORS
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 0
TAC
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORA
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
LAG
1 - 1
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 2
REN
20%
21%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |