Ariza vs Rayo Breano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARI
47%
21%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 4
MON
53%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 2
ARI
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
RIC
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
ARI
23%
19%
58%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Breano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
RBR
3 - 1
OLV
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EUR
0 - 0
RBR
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAD
2 - 2
RBR
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 1
RBR
79%
12%
9%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
RBR
0 - 1
SAA
28%
21%
51%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |