Ariza vs Luceni CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+227%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATE
2 - 2
ARI
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 3
REM
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AGR
3 - 1
ARI
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 1
RBR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
6 - 1
CER
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 0
SAD
25%
23%
52%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
LUC
70%
17%
14%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 3
PRA
12%
18%
70%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 0
LUC
68%
17%
15%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 2
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |