Aris Thessaloniki vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
5º
54
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PGE
3 - 1
ARI
18%
27%
55%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ARI
3 - 0
LEV
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
MTA
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 0
ARI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
GOM
1 - 2
ARI
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PAO
2 - 1
ATR
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PAO
1 - 0
PGE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VNF
3 - 1
PAO
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAO
1 - 1
LSO
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LSO
2 - 0
PAO
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |