Ariquemes vs Ji-Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIM
2 - 0
ARI
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
3 - 1
ROL
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARI
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
ARI
3 - 1
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAC
2 - 0
ARI
24%
23%
52%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
ROL
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAC
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
PIM
29%
22%
50%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 4
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |