Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 0-4
Argentinos Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
3 - 1
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
NOB
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAU
1 - 1
ARG
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
TIG
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
ALB
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 1
VEL
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
BAN
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |