Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
SBA
1 - 0
ARR
41%
28%
31%
|
38 | 32 | -6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
CLA
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 0
ARR
44%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
RPI
0 - 0
ARR
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 33 | -5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 0
RPI
47%
27%
26%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LIN
4 - 2
LUG
47%
27%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CBA
0 - 1
LIN
41%
28%
31%
|
33 | 23 | -10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
MUÑ
1 - 3
LIN
45%
27%
28%
|
33 | 21 | -12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
RPI
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 33 | -1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
RPI
2 - 0
LIN
44%
27%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |