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Primera C Metro.. Clausura, Matchday 4

Argentino Merlo vs Victoriano Arenas analysis

Argentino Merlo Victoriano Arenas
30 ELO 11
0% Tilt 8%
5048º General ELO ranking 8731º
119º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Argentino Merlo
25.7%
Draw
25.6%
Victoriano Arenas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
Argentino Merlo
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
Victoriano Arenas
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Argentino Merlo
+13%
+50%
Victoriano Arenas

Basic stats

2
1
GF
1
2
GC
30
11
ELO
1.5
1
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Argentino Merlo
Their league position
Victoriano Arenas
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
12º
10º
18
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Berazategui
37
37
50%
Ituzaingó
37
37
50%
Dep. Español
33
33
100%
Sportivo Italiano
29
29
100%
Laferrere
28
28
100%
Excursionistas
27
27
100%
Claypole
26
26
50%
Central Córdoba Rosario
26
26
50%
Argentino Merlo
25
25
50%
Dock Sud
10º
25
25
10º
50%
Real Pilar
11º
23
23
11º
100%
General Lamadrid
12º
22
22
12º
100%
San Martín Burzaco
13º
21
21
13º
100%
CA Atlas
14º
20
20
14º
100%
Luján
15º
19
19
15º
100%
Victoriano Arenas
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Midland
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
18º
16
16
18º
100%
El Porvenir
19º
6
6
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Argentino Merlo
Victoriano Arenas
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Argentino Merlo
ARM
Victoriano Arenas
VIC
Ituzaingó
ITU
CA Atlas
CAA
Midland
MID
Dock Sud
DOC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentino Merlo
Argentino Merlo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ARM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2021
ARM
Argentino Merlo
2 - 1
Midland
MID
51%
25%
23%
384 211 173 +1
17 Aug. 2021
CAA
CA Atlas
2 - 1
Argentino Merlo
ARM
41%
27%
31%
385 227 -158 -1
14 Aug. 2021
ARM
Argentino Merlo
2 - 1
Victoriano Arenas
VIC
51%
26%
24%
384 162 222 +1
07 Aug. 2021
LAM
General Lamadrid
1 - 1
Argentino Merlo
ARM
40%
28%
32%
384 176 -208 0
31 Jul. 2021
ARM
Argentino Merlo
2 - 2
Real Pilar
RPI
45%
27%
28%
384 384 0 0

Matches

Victoriano Arenas
Victoriano Arenas
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2021
DOC
Dock Sud
1 - 0
Victoriano Arenas
VIC
47%
27%
26%
161 213 52 -1
17 Aug. 2021
VIC
Victoriano Arenas
1 - 1
Ituzaingó
ITU
45%
27%
28%
161 189 -28 0
14 Aug. 2021
ARM
Argentino Merlo
2 - 1
Victoriano Arenas
VIC
51%
26%
24%
162 384 222 -1
07 Aug. 2021
VIC
Victoriano Arenas
3 - 0
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
ALE
42%
28%
30%
159 222 -63 +2
01 Aug. 2021
BER
Berazategui
3 - 3
Victoriano Arenas
VIC
45%
27%
28%
159 185 26 0