Argentino Merlo vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
BER
1 - 3
ARM
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CCO
1 - 0
ARM
35%
24%
40%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 1
SMA
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ITA
3 - 2
ARM
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
BER
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EXC
4 - 0
ALE
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 1
CCO
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 2
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ALE
0 - 2
ITA
45%
26%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |