Argentino Merlo vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TAL
1 - 0
ARM
45%
28%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
JJU
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 2
ARM
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 1
ARM
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
DOC
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
ITU
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LAM
0 - 0
ITU
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
RIE
2 - 1
ITU
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
RIE
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |