Argentino Merlo vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
ARM
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
LAF
0 - 0
ARM
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DAL
2 - 1
ARM
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ARM
1 - 1
SBA
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ALE
3 - 4
ARM
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
LAF
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
DAL
2 - 0
EXC
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SBA
1 - 2
EXC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
ALE
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
EXC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |