Arevalo CF vs Navatalgordo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
43%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arevalo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SER
4 - 3
ARE
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 3
PEB
80%
12%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 6
ARE
21%
18%
60%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 2
ARE
17%
17%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARE
2 - 3
PIE
36%
21%
44%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Navatalgordo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NAV
4 - 0
ARE
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PIE
4 - 1
NAV
66%
17%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
NAV
62%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
5 - 2
PEB
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCN
0 - 3
NAV
23%
19%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |