Arenteiro vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arenteiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARE
2 - 0
BER
21%
25%
55%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARE
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARE
1 - 0
NEG
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARE
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ARE
2 - 1
NOI
69%
19%
13%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
30%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
NEG
2 - 2
CHO
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
OUR
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NOI
3 - 1
CHO
18%
23%
59%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |